HDBFSHDBFS Forensic Risk Analysis

Non Banking Financial Company (NBFC)
Risk ClassStable
Market Cap₹47,931 Cr
Primary DriverGovernance
Flagium AI Risk Score
Stable structural profile. Financial profile appears resilient.
0 / 100
0 QoQ
Stable
Sentinel Insight

Asset quality remains stable for now. Pressure has stabilized in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. No major change in risk trend.

0.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs
Updated2026-06-02
Market View
648.71.72%
PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

No active forensic penalties contributing.
Final Composite Risk0 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 00 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction
⚠ Watch
Primary Deterioration Drivers
  • No active triggers
What to Watch Next Quarter

    Active Risk Objects (0)

    CriticalHigh
    Risk Trajectory
    Historical 12-quarter risk trend (Q-11 to Q0) followed by a 2-quarter predictive funnel (Q+1, Q+2).
    Loading Chart
    Resilience Matrix
    Diagnostic benchmarking comparing structural sensitivity and risk buffers against sector medians.
    MetricValuevs SectorSignal
    Volatility (σ)4.59✅ RESILIENT
    Sensitivity (ε_s)11.00✅ RESILIENT
    Escalation Prob.5%5%✅ NEUTRAL
    Safety Buffer+66.0+55.5✅ RESILIENT
    Forensic Benchmark Context: Non Banking Financial Company (NBFC) (n=38 peers)

    Correlation Analysis
    Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

    Loading Chart
    Share Price
    Risk Score (0-100)
    Market Performance
    648.7(-1.72%)
    1M Divergence-0.48%
    1 Week-4.56%
    1 Month-1.2%
    6 Months-13.1%
    1 YearN/A
    2 Year-14.25%
    3 Year-14.25%
    Sector Average (1M)-0.73%
    Sentinel Forensic Assessment
    ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

    The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. The current structural trajectory supports a stable risk outlook.

    HDBFS • MARKET STRUCTURE

    Stage 4 — Declining

    The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

    Stage Transition Prob.0%
    Trend QualityDeteriorating
    Phase Progression
    Phase Progression Score0%
    Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)
    Probability of Advancing0%
    CoinTree Momentum
    Composite Z-Score-0.4529σ
    Weakening momentum trend
    Universe Rank
    A cross-sectional rank of this stock's composite momentum score compared to all other tracked equities in the universe. A rank of #1 of 1035 means it has the strongest overall price momentum in the market.
    #1988 of 2716
    Top 73.20% in momentum strength
    Timeframe Sparklines
    1W-4.6%
    1M-1.2%
    6M-13.1%
    Weinstein Indicators
    150 DMA703.68
    200 DMA718.76
    150 DMA Slope-1.3436%Declining
    Relative Strength-7.61%Lagging
    Relative Turnover (RTR)0.3747
    ParticipationWeak

    PEER COMPARISON

    Ranked comparison against sector peers

    This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (10.5).

    * Peer comparison is based on risk signals, not valuation or returns.

    Risk Profiles

    Solvency
    10100th %ile
    VS Sector Median (8.5)
    Governance
    10100th %ile
    VS Sector Median (8.5)
    Earnings Quality
    10100th %ile
    VS Sector Median (8.5)
    Growth Sustainability
    10100th %ile
    VS Sector Median (8.5)

    Deterioration Timeline

    Key Financials (INR Cr)

    PeriodRevenueNet ProfitOCFDebt
    FY202618,4302,544-8,60699,230