LOTUSDEVLOTUSDEV Forensic Risk Analysis

Residential Commercial Projects
Risk ClassStable
Market CapN/A
Primary DriverGovernance
Flagium AI Risk Score
Stable structural profile. Financial profile appears resilient.
0 / 100
0 QoQ
Stable
Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure has stabilized in governance. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. No major change in risk trend.

0.0th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs
Updated2026-06-02
Market View
₹139.36▲0.14%
PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

No active forensic penalties contributing.
Final Composite Risk0 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has declined from 0 → 0 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction
⚠ Watch
Primary Deterioration Drivers
  • No active triggers
What to Watch Next Quarter

    Active Risk Objects (0)

    CriticalHigh
    Risk Trajectory
    Historical 12-quarter risk trend (Q-11 to Q0) followed by a 2-quarter predictive funnel (Q+1, Q+2).
    Loading Chart
    Resilience Matrix
    Diagnostic benchmarking comparing structural sensitivity and risk buffers against sector medians.
    MetricValuevs SectorSignal
    Volatility (σ)5.31✅ RESILIENT
    Sensitivity (ε_s)11.00✅ RESILIENT
    Escalation Prob.5%5%✅ NEUTRAL
    Safety Buffer+66.0+56.0✅ RESILIENT
    Forensic Benchmark Context: Residential Commercial Projects (n=50 peers)

    Correlation Analysis
    Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

    Loading Chart
    Share Price
    Risk Score (0-100)
    Market Performance
    ₹139.36(+0.14%)
    1M Divergence-3.01%
    1 Week+0.04%
    1 Month-2.63%
    6 Months-11.21%
    1 YearN/A
    2 Year-23.05%
    3 Year-23.05%
    Sector Average (1M)+0.38%
    Sentinel Forensic Assessment
    ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

    The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in governance remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of structural transparency and audit trails confirm the absence of material structural stress. The current structural trajectory supports a stable risk outlook.

    LOTUSDEV • MARKET STRUCTURE

    Stage 4 — Declining

    The company is in a defensive phase. Sentiment and fundamentals are deteriorating under persistent downward pressure, indicating elevated risk levels.

    Stage Transition Prob.0%
    Trend QualityDeteriorating
    Phase Progression
    Phase Progression Score0%
    Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)
    Probability of Advancing0%
    CoinTree Momentum
    Composite Z-Score-0.1523σ
    Weakening momentum trend
    Universe Rank
    A cross-sectional rank of this stock's composite momentum score compared to all other tracked equities in the universe. A rank of #1 of 1035 means it has the strongest overall price momentum in the market.
    #1312 of 2716
    Top 48.31% in momentum strength
    Timeframe Sparklines
    1W+0.0%
    1M-2.6%
    6M-11.2%
    Weinstein Indicators
    150 DMA₹148.61
    200 DMA₹158.24
    150 DMA Slope-4.0215%Declining
    Relative Strength-5.72%Lagging
    Relative Turnover (RTR)0.2740
    ParticipationWeak

    PEER COMPARISON

    Ranked comparison against sector peers

    This company appears relatively stable compared to the Sector Mean (10).
    LOTUSDEVLOTUSDEV
    0 Risk
    Sector %ile0th
    Delta0
    Active Flags0
    Accel+0
    Governance

    Stable

    AGIILAgi Infra Limited
    5 Risk
    Sector %ile31th
    Delta+5
    Active Flags1
    Accel+1
    Competitive Position

    Stable

    AJMERAAjmera Realty & Infra India Limited
    12 Risk
    Sector %ile55th
    Delta+4
    Active Flags7
    Accel+3
    Earnings Quality

    Stable

    ALEMBICLTDAlembic Limited
    16 Risk
    Sector %ile65th
    Delta+16
    Active Flags4
    Accel+1
    Earnings Quality

    Stable

    * Peer comparison is based on risk signals, not valuation or returns.

    Risk Profiles

    Solvency
    10100th %ile
    VS Sector Median (8.5)
    Governance
    10100th %ile
    VS Sector Median (8.5)
    Earnings Quality
    10100th %ile
    VS Sector Median (8.5)
    Balance Sheet Stress
    10100th %ile
    VS Sector Median (8.5)
    Competitive Position
    10100th %ile
    VS Sector Median (8.5)
    Growth Sustainability
    10100th %ile
    VS Sector Median (8.5)

    Deterioration Timeline

    Key Financials (INR Cr)

    PeriodRevenueNet ProfitOCFDebt
    FY2026819243-326131