Last Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹209.59(▲6.75%)

Reporting PeriodQ4 FY26

SSWLSSWL Forensic Risk Analysis

Name: SSWL Structural Risk Analysis
Creator: Flagium AI
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

Auto Components & Equipments

Risk ClassStable

Market CapN/A

Primary DriverEarnings Quality

Flagium AI Risk Score

7 / 100

-2 QoQ

Improving

Sentinel Insight

Financial profile remains stable for now. Pressure is receding in profitability and earnings quality. This indicates that forensic pressure is currently receding. Minor improvements are visible in the risk trend.

34.3th %ile (Sector)Accel: +0 Qtrs

Updated2026-06-02

Market View

₹209.59▲6.75%

PeriodQ4 FY26

Score Waterfall
Absolute contribution points of each forensic pillar to the final risk score. Derived from: Sector Baseline + Active Penalties - Mitigation Buffers.

Earnings Quality

+6.6 pts

Final Composite Risk7 / 100

Investment Risk Thesis

Historical Trend

Current risk score has risen from 0 → 7 over 12 quarters.

Expected Direction

⚠ Watch

Primary Deterioration Drivers

Inventory Stress
Relative Growth Weakness
Industrial Margin Stress

What to Watch Next Quarter

Operating profit margins
Inventory turnover
Debt growth

Active Risk Objects (7)

CriticalHigh

Relative Growth Weakness

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ3 FY2025

Revenue growth consistently lags behind sector median (12.8%).

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Inventory Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight15/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

Inventory growth (25.7%) significantly outpaced revenue growth (9.7%).

"Stock is piling up in the warehouse. Inventory turnover is slowing down dangerously."

Profit Collapse

📊 Earnings QualityQuarterlyActive for 1 Qtrs

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Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2025

SSWL: Net Profit collapsed by 88.2% from FY2024 Q4 to FY2025 Q4.

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Operating Leverage Stress

📉 Trend DeteriorationAnnualActive for 5 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumPersistent

Last SignalQ4 FY2026

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

"Debt levels are creeping up. Monitor for signs of excessive borrowing for non-core activities."

Industrial Margin Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 2 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight12/15

MomentumAccelerating

Last SignalQ2 FY2026

SSWL: EBITDA margin compressed by 1.9 bps YoY.

"Early signs of margin erosion. Input costs are beginning to eat into core profits."

Working Capital Expansion

💧 Liquidity & CoverageAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight10/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ4 FY2024

Working capital expansion detected: Receivable days increased by 18.8%.

"Working capital pressure is receding. Cash previously locked in operations is being released."

Capex Efficiency Stress

📊 Earnings QualityAnnualActive for 1 Years

More Detail

Impact Weight8/15

MomentumDecaying

Last SignalQ2 FY2024

Aggressive Capex (16.7%) amidst slow revenue growth (4.8%).

"Earnings quality is stabilizing. The reliance on non-operational items is receding."

Risk Trajectory

Loading Chart

Resilience Matrix

Metric	Value	vs Sector	Signal
Volatility (σ)	4.64	5.20	✅ RESILIENT
Sensitivity (ε_s)	1	1.00	✅ RESILIENT
Escalation Prob.	5%	5%	✅ NEUTRAL
Safety Buffer	+59.0	+55.5	✅ RESILIENT

Forensic Benchmark Context: Auto Components & Equipments (n=74 peers)

Correlation Analysis
Visualizing the relationship between stock price movement and structural risk objects.

Loading Chart

Share Price

Risk Score (0-100)

Market Performance

₹209.59(+6.75%)

1M Divergence-3.73%

1 Week-1%

1 Month-1.47%

6 Months+7.73%

1 Year-13.53%

2 Year-1.45%

3 Year+38.81%

Sector Average (1M)+2.27%

Sentinel Forensic Assessment

ALGORITHMIC RISK PROFILE • NON-ADVISORY

The structural architecture is currently robust. Capital resilience buffers in earnings quality remain well-maintained against forensic benchmarks. Systematic scans of operational margins and profitability metrics confirm the absence of material structural stress. The current structural trajectory supports a stable risk outlook.

SSWL • MARKET STRUCTURE

Stage 1 — Accumulation

The company is in a foundational phase. Risk metrics are stabilizing as the company builds a base for potential future fundamental improvement.

Stage Transition Prob.11%

Trend QualityEarly Base

Phase Progression

Phase Progression Score30%

Readiness LabelLow (Early Base Consolidation)

Probability of Advancing11%

CoinTree Momentum

Composite Z-Score-0.0831σ

Weakening momentum trend

Universe Rank#1159 of 2716

Top 42.67% in momentum strength

Timeframe Sparklines

1W-1.0%

1M-1.5%

6M+7.7%

Weinstein Indicators

150 DMA₹204.3

200 DMA₹209.37

150 DMA Slope-1.0003%Declining

Relative Strength+13.43%Leading

Relative Turnover (RTR)1.3703

ParticipationHealthy

PEER COMPARISON

Ranked comparison against sector peers

Risk profile is broadly in line with the Sector Mean (10.5).

Ticker	Risk Score	Sector %ile	Delta	Flags	Accel	Primary Driver
ASKAUTOLTDASK Automotive Limited	1	7th	-5	9	+0	GovernanceStable
SSWLSSWL	7	34th	-2	7	+0	Earnings QualityStable
ALICONAlicon Castalloy Limited	20	74th	-5	18	+0	Balance Sheet StressWatch
ARE&MAmara Raja Energy & Mobility Limited	30	89th	-5	19	+0	Earnings QualityWatch