REC Limited

RECLTD

Structural risk assessment following Q4-FY26 | 31 Mar 26 earnings.

Current Risk ClassStable
🛡️
Risk Score Change(Higher = More Risk)
Quarterly AssessmentRisk Improved

Q3-FY26 | 31 Dec 25

15

Risk Score

5 pts

Q4-FY26 | 31 Mar 26

10

Risk Score

🟢Risk decreased by −5 points

Flagium detected:

  • Stabilization in key metrics

Persistent watch:

  • Operating Leverage Stress

ℹ️ Executive Summary

REC Limited registered a drop in both quarterly revenue and net profit, reflecting challenging industry-wide demand trends. A 'Stable' risk classification and 1 active flags indicate that operating headwinds are beginning to translate into structural pressure.

🛡️ Sentinel Insight

"REC Limited currently sits within Flagium's Stable category. However, recent periods have introduced early signs of leverage and funding pressure. With both revenue and profit contracting, triggers like 'Operating Leverage Stress' amplify the structural risk. Current deterioration appears cyclical rather than existential."

The Quarter at a Glance

MetricQ4-FY26 | 31 Mar 26Q4-FY25 | 31 Mar 25Change
Revenue₹14,583.4 Cr₹15,348.4 Cr-5.0%
EBIT Margin30.27%35.77%-550 bps
Net Profit (PAT)₹3,375.1 Cr₹4,310.0 Cr-21.7%
Interest Expense₹8,930.7 Cr₹8,768.4 Cr+1.9%

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What Changed Beneath the Headlines?

Revenue Contraction

Quarterly revenue changed by -5.0% YoY, reflecting demand and volume updates.

Net Profit Compression

Profit after tax changed by -21.7% YoY, settling at ₹3,375.1 Cr.

Operating Margins

Operating margin declined by 550 bps YoY to 30.27%.

Flagium Risk Signals

CategoryTrend Deterioration
SignalOperating Leverage Stress
SeverityModerate

Expenses are consistently growing faster than revenues, creating operational pressure.

What the financials are implicitly signaling

Flagium's structural analysis indicates:

  • Deleveraging or structural balance sheet adjustment is required to defend interest coverage ratios.
  • Capacity utilization calibration is being monitored to align with slow volume intake.
  • Working capital conversion cycles require active support to sustain cash conversions.

Signals to Monitor Next Quarter

Watch 01

Raw material price movement and its impact on operating margins.

Watch 02

Working capital efficiency and cash flow conversions.

Watch 03

Domestic demand recovery and segment-wise volume growth.

Historical Quality Trend

Last 6 Quarters
QuarterRisk ScoreTrendCurrent Risk Class
Q4 FY2610🟢 Stable
Q3 FY2615🟢 Stable
Q2 FY2610🟢 Stable
Q1 FY265🟢 Stable
Q4 FY250🟢 Stable
Q3 FY250🟢 Stable

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What to do next

Disclaimer

Flagium AI is an automated financial data analytics platform. Analysis reports are compiled programmatically from public regulatory XBRL submissions (NSE/BSE). This evaluation does not constitute investment advice, financial planning, or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any security. Please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before acting on any data presented.